On 6 August 2015, the Victorian state government launched its official projection of population for the period 2011 to 2051 for Victoria and the major regions. Victoria in Future 2015 forecasts that, by 2051, the population of Greater Melbourne will be 7.8 million (almost doubling since 4.1 million in 2011). Victoria’s population will also almost double, rising from 5.5 million in 2011 to 10 million in 2051.
How can any reasonable person think that it’s possible to double the population of the world’s ‘most liveable city’ without suffering irreparable economic, social and cultural damage?
The population figures being projected by the Victorian government aren’t really news, nor do they have to be inevitable. The prospect of Melbourne reaching 8 million was discussed at a recent ‘community policy forum’ on Sustainable Population held in the northern suburb of Thornbury of 16 July. (A report on that forum was published here by Victoria First.)
The basis for the projected increase in population is net overseas migration (2.7 million), natural increase (births minus deaths = 1.7 million), and net interstate migration (95,000).
Given that the largest component of this projection is overseas immigration, there would seem to be a simple remedy: REDUCE IMMIGRATION!
How can we influence the government to change its high net overseas immigration policy? It was recently suggested by Tom Elliott on 3AW, a Melbourne radio station, that the government should conduct a plebiscite to gauge public opinion on the topic. Listen here to his Drive Time discussion on 4 June 2015 with callers and with Brian Costar, Professor of Political Science at Swinburne University:
Despite the agreement by the conventional wisdom from journalists and boffins that plebiscites and referendums are not doable, we maintain our optimism that the REDUCE IMMIGRATION write-on campaign offers great potential to influence decision-makers in all jurisdictions.
Learn more about how to participate in the campaign, and share this with your friends, family and followers!