Back in the 1980s, the United Nations Population Fund requested the 165 UN member states and observer states to submit their projections for national population growth.
The assembled data was presented through the ‘Population Card’, a then state-of-the-art computerised calculator. The size of a credit card, this neat digital device allows people to check the rapid increase of global and national populations through to 2020. It came stylishly boxed with a helpful manual in three languages.
Double-click on our photos to enlarge the images.
This intriguing device was rightly praised by John Tanton in The Social Contract in 1991. Since then, however, it seems to have disappeared from public consciousness, even on the internet. We can’t find it preserved by major libraries, nor does it appear to have become a collectable. We therefore want to share this rare gem with you.
We checked the Card today (28 October 2015). It shows Australia’s (1987 anticipated) population for today as being 21,828,058:
Today’s official population for Australia is actually 23,912,665. That’s an overshoot of 2,084,607, or 9.6% more than the UN Card’s prediction! (Check our source and calculations for yourself – obviously, the population will have increased by the time you read this post!) The long-ago forward projections on Australia’s population growth have been seriously overshot.
We know that Australia has been politically committed to increasing its population through mass immigration since WW2. The present rate of increase is 1.4% (source: Australian Bureau of Statistics).
Our Bibliography illustrates that Australia is not coping with its current rapid population expansion, 60% of which is immigration-induced.
Rapid population growth matters to Australia, but does our growth matter to the rest of the world? Not really! With much else to concern them, the rest of the world wouldn’t care one way or the other. But what about Australia’s friends in the “Five Eyes” intelligence alliance, and how have their populations expanded? In alphabetical order, here are the 1987 projections for Canada, New Zealand, UK and USA, set against real-time contemporary data from each nation’s official ‘population clock’.
1987 projection for Canada today: 31,862,450
2015 official count for today: 35,851,774 (source)
This means that the Canadian overshoot is 3,989,324, or 12.5% more than the UN Card’s prediction!
1987 projection for New Zealand today: 4,063,429
2015 official count for today: 4,627,269 (source)
This means that the NZ overshoot is 563,840, or 13.9% more than the UN Card’s prediction!
1987 projection for the United Kingdom today: 58,192,236
2015 official count for today: 64,971,075 (source)
This means that the UK overshoot is 6,778,839, or 11.6% more than the UN Card’s prediction!
1987 projection for the United States of America today: 294,164,789
2015 official count for today: 322,045,200 (source)
This means that the USA overshoot is 27,880,411, or 9.5% more than the UN Card’s prediction!
Not every advanced nation has experienced the sort of growth that the Five Eyes nations have experienced. Japan, for example, has not reached its statisticians’ expectations. The Population Card predicted 139,247,705, but the reality is that Japan’s official population now is only 126,904,000 (source), and Japan still sensibly eschews mass immigration.
World population ‘league tables’ currently rank Australia at 52 in a list of 257 countries (source: Wikipedia) or 51 in a list of 200 (source: Worldometers). Are all those many countries with populations smaller than Australia’s obsessively seeking to expand through open-ended mass-migration programs? No, they aren’t.
Indeed, most countries in the world sensibly don’t do mass immigration. We need to REDUCE IMMIGRATION here. In fact, now that we see how far ahead of the projections we’ve moved, and now that we live with the consequences of high mass immigration, perhaps a complete moratorium on all immigration to Australia would be a good idea.
Voters at this weekend’s Victorian by-elections, or the federal North Sydney by-election on 5 December, should use these opportunities to write REDUCE IMMIGRATION in the blank space atop their ballot papers. (Learn more about how to do this.)
Below are the introductory pages from the explanatory manual that accompanies the UN Population Card. We can check the 1987 projections for other countries, on request.